!Upset
*Big Game
**Game of the Week
Detroit Lions (10-5) v.s. Green Bay Packers (14-1) (DET -5, O/U 41.5)
The Lions certainly need this game more than the Packers because they would rather avoid New Orleans in the SuperDome than not avoid them. The Packers will most likely rest everybody and it looks like Charles Woodson and Clay Matthews won't play at all. The Lions should continue to roll into the playoffs, finishing a strong 11-5 season but not before a Matt Flynn led Green Bay offense keeps them in the game.
Detroit 27-24
Spread: Green Bay
O/U: Over
San Francisco 49ers (12-3) v.s. St. Louis Rams (2-13) (SF -11, O/U 35)
I would like to think the Rams would like to avoid the conundrum that it is the number one pick. But I don't see Kellen Clemens and the Rams offense generating enough points to beat even San Francisco, who keep in mind, still needs to win to get a first round bye.
San Francisco 24-7
Spread: San Francisco
O/U: Under
*New York Jets (8-7) v.s. Miami Dolphins (5-10) (MIA -3, O/U 39)
I don't think people give the Dolphins enough credit for their second half performance. 5-3 in their last eight games and it is mainly because of their underrated defense. The Dolphins stifled Tom Brady and the Pats for a half last week so what the hell are they going to do today against Mark Sanchez and the Jets. The Dolphins play four quarters of defense and muster enough points without Brandon Marshall to win and end the Jets playoff hopes.
Miami 17-16
Spread: New York
O/U: Under
Chicago Bears (7-8) v.s. Minnesota Vikings (3-12) (MIN -2, O/U 41.5)
Both of these teams have been depleted with injuries, Adrian Peterson being the latest to fall for the Vikings. I like the way the Bears made strides on offense last week and it seems that Josh McCown actually could lead the Bears to score enough points. Jared Allen might close in on the sack record today, but I still don't think that means the Vikings will finish 4-12. I'll take the Bears.
Chicago 24-17!
Spread: Chicago
O/U: Under
Buffalo Bills (6-9) v.s. New England Patriots (12-3) (NE -11, O/U 50)
New England wins and they clinch home field. I have to believe that the Bills won't be the ones to beat New England in Foxboro today that spoils their hopes of home field. The Patriots control this one throughout.
New England 34-20
Spread: New England
O/U: Over
Carolina Panthers (6-9) v.s. New Orleans Saints (12-3) (NO -8, O/U 55)
I don't know who to take in this one because who knows whether the key Saints players will play. Either way though, I think Cam Newton and the Panthers rushing attack keeps them in it and assuming that Drew Brees doesn't play much in the second half, I guess I'll take the Panthers.
Carolina 31-21!
Spread: Carolina
O/U: Over
Washington Redskins (5-10) v.s. Philadelphia Eagles (7-8) (PHI -9, O/U 45.5)
Big time disappointment for both of these franchises. I don't think the Philadelphia fans will be into it which will hurt the Eagles performance at first, but too much Michael Vick and I like the Eagles defense to step up in crunch time to beat the Redskins.
Philadelphia 23-16
Spread: Washington
O/U: Under
Indianapolis Colts (2-13) v.s. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-11) (JAC -4, O/U 37.5)
Will the Colts secure the number one pick? I don't think they will. The Colts are playing better defense of late and they are mustering just enough points to hang around in games. The Colts will need to find an answer for Maurice Jones-Drew and I think they will contain him to under 150. Blaine Gabbert won't lead the last minute drive as the Colts lock up the number two pick in the draft.
Indianapolis 20-16!
Spread: Indianapolis
O/U: Under
*Tennessee Titans (8-7) v.s. Houston Texans (10-5) (TEN -2, O/U 39.5)
The Texans are locked into the 3 slot in the AFC, but that doesn't mean they will pull their starters today. The Texans need to get sharp today, but that doesn't mean I think they will win. I believe if Tennessee runs the ball effectively with Chris Johnson they will win. Too bad I don't see that happening. Tennessee was dismantled in their first meeting with Houston and while I don't see them getting killed today, Houston will get the win and squash the Titan's playoff aspirations.
Houston 24-19!
Spread: Houston
O/U: Over
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11) v.s. Atlanta Falcons (9-6) (ATL -11, O/U 45.5)
This game doesn't mean a whole lot. If the Falcons win and Detroit losses, they avoid New Orleans in the first round. With that in mind, the Falcons will close the season strong and get back to playing the kind of football they were playing before last week's loss against New Orleans.
Atlanta 28-10
Spread: Atlanta
O/U: Under
*Baltimore Ravens (11-4) v.s. Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) (BAL -3, O/U 38)
The Ravens have been below average on the road this year, particularly in the passing game. This game rests on Joe Flacco, will he be able to get the Ravens offense going. If he does, it puts pressure on Andy Dalton, making him more prone to turning the ball over. I see Flacco having a nice day, the Ravens defense having a nice day and the Ravens as a whole having a nice day as they clinch their division.
Baltimore 27-17
Spread: Baltimore
O/U: Over
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-4) v.s. Cleveland Browns (4-11) (PIT -7, O/U 33.5)
With or without Roethlisberger, the Steelers will win and it will be a low scoring game, is that simple enough for you?
Pittsburgh 13-0
Spread: Pittsburgh
O/U: Under
*Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) v.s. Denver Broncos (8-7) (DEN -4, O/U 37.5)
This game interests me the most today. Kyle Orton returns to Denver to take on Tebow. The Chiefs have an extremely underrated defense. They have confused Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and other big time quarterbacks at times this year. Tebow only completed two passes the last time they faced, but he ran for a ton, which allowed the Broncos to win. Romeo Crenel will draw up a great game-plan that corrects the mistakes they made last week, which causes the Broncos offense to struggle. Tebow will do his best late, but Kyle Orton is the difference maker in the final five minutes as the Chiefs beat the Broncos.
Kansas City 19-13!
Spread: Kansas City
O/U: Under
*San Diego Chargers (7-8) v.s. Oakland Raiders (8-7) (OAK -3, O/U 48.5)
The Chargers are beat up, the Raiders are ready to go. The Chargers are wrapping up a disappointing season once again while the Raiders are finishing up a resurgent season. The key in this will be which quarterback protects the ball. I guess Carson Palmer will protect the ball a little bit better than Phillip Rivers will, I think? Yeah, sure. I'll take the Raiders to move onto the playoffs with a win today.
Oakland 30-20
Spread: Oakland
O/U: Over
Seattle Seahawks (7-8) v.s. Arizona Cardinals (7-8) (ARZ -3, O/U 41)
This game is meaningless unfortunately, but it does feature two of the teams performing the best in the second half of the season. Seattle won the first meeting because they ran the ball and forced turnovers. I believe that is what will happen today. Seattle finishes 8-8, which remarkably is an improvement, record-wise, on a playoff berth.
Seattle 24-13
Spread: Seattle
O/U: Under
**Dallas Cowboys (8-7) v.s. New York Giants (8-7) (NYG -3, O/U 47.5)
The game of the year takes place in the Meadowlands tonight. This game was a shootout last time, but it won't be tonight. Both teams will make defensive adjustments. The key will be whether the Cowboys minimize the Giants pass rush which features Jason Pierre-Paul and Justin Tuck. I believe the Cowboys will give Tony Romo just enough time to find guys in key moments. The Cowboys defeat the Giants in a thrilling last game of the season.
Dallas 24-21!
Spread: Dallas
O/U: Under
Last Week: 9-7
Season: 158-80
Last Week Against Spread: 10-6
Season: 137-103
Last Week Over/Under: 8-8
Season: 81-83
Last Week Upsets: 3-4
Season: 27-30
Last Week Big Games: 3-2
Season: 52-28
Last Week Big Games Against Spread: 4-1
Season: 49-31
Last Week Game of the Week: 0-1
Season: 9-7
Last Week Game of the Week Against Spread: 0-1
Season: 9-7
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