*Big Game
**Game of the Week
Seattle Seahawks (2-3) v.s. Cleveland Browns (2-3) (CLE -3, O/U 41)
Charlie Whitehurst gets the start for a Seattle team that has trouble scoring points. Cleveland is 2-3, but they have been the benefit of a weak schedule. This is another game Cleveland should win at home. I think the Browns score just enough points to get by the Seahawks.
Matthew Stafford |
Spread: Cleveland
O/U: Under
*Atlanta Falcons (3-3) v.s. Detroit Lions (5-1) (DET -4, O/U 47.5)
I knew the Lions would have a let down against San Francisco. They're a young team and young teams tend to do that. I think Detroit comes out pumped up but there are some things that are worrisome in this matchup for the Lions. They will not have Jahvid Best and on the other side, the Lions will have trouble stopping Michael Turner. The Falcons need to have a big day from Matt Ryan in order to win the game. I don't see Ryan doing quite enough as the Lions win a tight contest at home.
Detroit 24-21
Spread: Detroit
O/U: Under
*Houston Texans (3-3) v.s. Tennessee Titans (3-2) (TEN -3, O/U 44)
This is a pivotal game for the AFC South which has now turned into a two horse race. I really feel bad for the Texans because it seems like every year they have something bad happen to them. This year they have had a few marquee injuries. No Andre Johnson today is troublesome, but I think Matt Schaub steps up and plays like the Pro Bowl quarterback he is. Houston's defense slows down Chris Johnson and get a big win in Tennessee.
Houston 24-17!
Tim Tebow |
O/U: Under
*Denver Broncos (1-4) v.s. Miami Dolphins (0-6) (DEN -1, O/U 41.5)
This is possibly one of the most talked about contests between two teams with a combined one win that you will ever see. Tim Tebow gets his first start. Luckily, I think all the pro-Tebow people will be staking their case because whether it was Kyle Orton, Brady Quinn or Tebow, the Broncos would win this game because they have a stronger team top to bottom than the Dolphins. Tebow will play well though.
Denver 27-20
Spread: Denver
O/U: Over
**San Diego Chargers (4-1) v.s. New York Jets (3-3) (NYJ -1, O/U 43.5)
Ryan Mathews |
San Diego 28-20!
Spread: San Diego
O/U: Over
*Chicago Bears (3-3) v.s. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) (CHI -2, O/U 44) (in London)
Jay Cutler looked very comfortable last week. What happens when Jay Cutler is comfortable? He throws the ball all over the place with success and the Bears score 39 points. The Buccaneers defense is better than the Vikings defense, but they did let Alex Smith and the 49ers put up 45 points on them. The Bears will run the ball and pass when they need to along with forcing Josh Freeman into some tough situations due to no running game without LeGarrette Blount. I like the Bears in a workmanlike victory.
Chicago 24-16
Spread: Chicago
Brian Orakpo |
Washington Redskins (3-2) v.s. Carolina Panthers (1-5) (CAR -3, O/U 43.5)
Washington is 3-2, yet everyone is talking like they have Carolina's record. The 'Skins still play very good defense. It is just a matter of whether having John Beck at quarterback does the trick in Carolina today. I think Cam Newton struggles as the Redskins put up just enough points to win on a late field goal.
Washington 19-17!
Spread: Washington
O/U: Under
Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) v.s. Oakland Raiders (4-2) (OAK -6, O/U 42)
Regardless with who is at quarterback and today it will be Kyle Boller, the Raiders will control this game like they controlled last years season finale in Kansas City by running the football. The Raiders don't look quite as explosive as they have in weeks past, but they do enough to win the game fairly easily over division rival Kansas City.
Oakland 21-14
Adrian Wilson |
O/U: Under
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) v.s. Arizona Cardinals (1-4) (PIT -4, O/U 44)
We have a rematch of Super Bowl 43, so this game should be exciting right? Yes I believe it will be, but it won't be as high scoring as that Super Bowl. The Steelers are playing great defense, but they are letting teams hang around far too long into games. The Steelers also are not scoring a lot of points either. If Arizona's defense can step up along with Kevin Kolb finding Larry Fitzgerald a few times, I see Pittsburgh falling into the trap in the desert because they are looking ahead to New England next week.
Arizona 24-20!
Spread: Arizona
O/U: Under
St. Louis Rams (0-5) v.s. Dallas Cowboys (2-3) (DAL -14, O/U 44)
No Sam Bradford today for the 0-5 Rams. If there is such a thing as a lock in the NFL, it is this game with the Cowboys needing the game at home. Dallas, easy.
Dallas 28-10
Spread: Dallas
O/U: Under
Clay Matthews |
If Chicago with all of its offensive line issues can light up the Minnesota secondary, what the hell will Aaron Rodgers and the Packers do today. I also see the Packers causing rookie Christian Ponder to have a rough day in his first start.
Green Bay 38-13
Spread: Green Bay
O/U: Over
New Orleans Saints (4-2) v.s. Indianapolis Colts (0-6) (NO -14, O/U 49)
It sucks that everyone has to see Indianapolis on a prime time stage once again, but I guess it's just the way it is. New Orleans is coming off a loss at Tampa Bay and rest assured Drew Brees is looking to light it up tonight in the Dome. Another game that should be a lock on paper.
New Orleans 37-15
Terrell Suggs |
O/U: Over
Baltimore Ravens (4-1) v.s. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) (BAL -9, O/U 40)
If Jacksonville wants to have any shot at the playoffs, they need to win on Monday. Jacksonville will need big performances out of Maurice Jones-Drew and rookie Blaine Gabbert as well as another stellar effort from their defense, one of the better ones in the league. Jacksonville will definitely keep this one close, but Baltimore is looking better and better each week. Baltimore pulls it out in a tight one.
Baltimore 23-19
Spread: Jacksonville
O/U: Over
Last Week: 12-1
Season: 69-21
Last Week Against Spread: 9-4
Season: 55-35
Last Week Upsets: 1-0
Season: 6-5
Last Week Over/Under: 6-7
Season: 6-7
Last Week Big Games: 4-1
Season: 23-7
Last Week Big Games Against Spread: 3-2
Season: 21-9
Last Week Game of the Week: 1-0
Season: 5-1
Last Week Game of the Week Against Spreads: 1-0
Season: 3-3
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